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charts must keep up with a heavy flow of ticks without missing a beat Both a database of historical tick data and software able to handle sizable data sets are necessary for system development and testing A real-time feed is required for actual trading Although fast hardware and mammoth memory can now be purchased at discount prices, adequate software does not come cheap Historical tick data is likely to be costly, and a real-time data feed entails a substantial and recurring expense In contrast, data costs and the commitment of time to trading are minimal for those operating on an end-of-day (or longer) time frame Free data is available on the Internet to anyone willing to perform cleanup and formatting Software costs are also likely to be lower than for the day trader.

Reduction in ful llment cost Capture of data along with the sale Immediacy of response information Personalization and speed of response Accuracy of the data captured

The end-of-day trader needs less time to actually trade: The system can be run after the markets close and trading orders are communicated to the broker before the markets open in the morning: perhaps a total of 15 minutes is spent on the whole process, leaving more time for system development and leisure activities Another benefit of a longer time frame is the ability to easily diversify by simultaneously trading several markets Because few markets offer the high levels of volatility and liquidity required for day trading, and because there is a limit on how many things a single individual can attend to at once, the day trader may only be able to diversify across systems The end-of-day trader, on the other hand, has a much wider choice of markets to trade and can trade at a more relaxed pace, making diversification across markets more practical than for intraday counterparts.

Here is how the process works. In the promotional message, the customer is given the name of a Web site to contact. If the promotion is an email, the Web site address can be contained in the message itself. All the user has to do is to click where it says click here, and she jumps to the site automatically. Once she arrives at the Web site, if the process has been set up correctly, she sees a greeting: Welcome, Susan or Welcome back, Susan. She also nds information about the product that was featured in the promotion. At that point, she can Buy the product directly on the site or make a reservation (rather than a sale) Get the names and addresses of local dealers who sell the product Talk directly to a local dealer Talk to a live operator Get detailed answers to her questions about the product or service Answer some survey questions designed to help her make a decision about which product is best for her needs Complete a personal pro le that provides her preferences and some demographics Provide her address, email name, and credit card number Send messages to friends about the product or service Learn about other products sold by the supplier and order them Provide permission for further correspondence In fact, in many ways, her visit to the site is better than a visit to a local store. If the site is set up properly, it provides the supplier with a wealth of information about the prospect or customer that would be dif cult or impossible to get during a store visit or with any of the other four response methods except the phone call.

Diversification is a great way to reduce risk relative to reward Longer time frame trading has another desirable feature: the ability to capture large profits from strong, sustained trends: these are the profits that can take a $50,000 account to over a million in less than a year Finally, the system developer working with longer time frames will find more exogenous variables with potential predictive utility to explore A longer time frame, however, is not all bliss The trader must accept delayed feedback, tolerate wider stops, and be able to cope with overnight risk Holding overnight positions may even result in high levels of anxiety, perhaps full-blown insomnia Statistical issues can become significant for the system developer due to the smaller sample sizes involved when working with daily, weekly, or monthly data.

How do you manage to say, Welcome, Susan This is one of the secrets of modern database marketing using the Web. You begin with a list of prospects who are to receive your direct-mail or email promotion. You assign a unique four-character code to each person on your

One work-around for small sample size is to develop and test systems on complete portfolios, rather than on individual commodities Which time frame is best It all depends on you, the trader! Profitable trading can be done on many time frames The hope is that this discussion has clarfied some of the issues and trade-offs involved in choosing correctly..