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for the NYFE (but not the S&P X0), the British Pound, the Deutschemark, the Japanese Yen, Palladium, most of the Wheats, Kansas Wheat, Cocoa, and Lumber, and Light Crude (if entry at open is omitted). Out-of-sample, the NYFE had no trades, the British Pound and the Deutschemark continued to be strongly profitable across all three order types, and many of the other markets in which strong in-sample profitability was observed had no trades. Out-of-sample, some markets that had not traded in-sample traded profitably (especially Unleaded Gasoline, Silver, and Coffee), which indicates that the model continued to perform well, not merely in a different time period, but on a different set of markets.

Email blasts to unknown (and angry) people to get them to buy legitimate products. Direct mail promoting low-margin products. Database marketing for packaged goods. Customer communications programs without the use of a control group. You cannot prove that they have done any good. Trying to get your name eliminated from unsolicited email commercials.

Model Tested on Entry at Open, on Limit,

1 What was the breakthrough solution in the Verizon case study a Building a warehouse b Segmenting the data c Cooperation between IT and Marketing d Building a data mart e Sending mail rst class 2 Figure the cost per response for an email campaign that costs $005 per email and gets a response rate of 116 percent 3 A bank tried two communications programs One was to mutual funds customers and was aimed at getting them to buy more mutual funds The second was to those who did not have a home equity loan, asking them to apply for one Which was likely to get the larger response rate and why a Home equity loan offer It is easy to qualify for one b Mutual fund offer.

Many paints, woods, and carpets contain chemicals such as formaldehyde and petroleum distillates, which are known potential health hazards. When using paint, strippers, thinners, and other such materials, adequate ventilation is a must. Regarding building materials, if wood is not available, look for unfinished pressed wood, but make sure it s stamped with the HUD (Housing and Urban Development) emissions seal. Look for carpet and padding that have the green label from the Carpet and Rug Institute s indoor air-testing program. This ensures that government standards have been met for the emissions of volatile organic compounds.

and on Stop. In-sample, the T-Bills, the Deutschema& the Swiss Franc, the Canadian Dollar, Pork Bellies, Oats, Kansas Wheat, Orange Juice, and Lumber all showed strong profits. The British Pound and Deutschemark held up out-of-sample. The Swiss Franc was profitable out-of-sample, hut only with the limit order. It lost when entry was at open or on stop. The other markets either did not trade out-of-sample or had losses. Out-of-sample, the NYFE traded strongly profitably across all three order types, but did not trade profitably in-sample. Figure 12-1 depicts portfolio equity growth for long trades taken with entry at open. As is evident, there was a steady, stair-like growth in equity, the stair-like

It is easier to get people to do more of what they are doing than it is to get them to do something else 4 If RFM can double the response rate in direct-mail campaigns, why would it not be equally valuable for email campaigns a RFM does not work with email b There is no control group c Domain names are unavailable d Emails are so inexpensive you can concentrate on maximizing pro ts e None of the above 5 Propose a budget for your company for an online focus group List the two things that you would most like to get out of the focus group 6 Make a chart for a warranty expiration program, comparing the costs of email warranty noti cation with telemarketing at a cost of $5 per call Assume that the emails cost $006 each.

quality resulting from the small number of trades taken. The occasional, strongly profitable trade caused a sudden step up in equity. The least-squares line fitted to the equity curve reveals consistent growth in both samples, but slightly greater in the early years. The equity growth for the long model with entry on limit, which helps to control transaction costs, is shown in Figure 12-2. Again, the stair-like growth in equity is apparent. However, the equity growth was more even; i.e., there was no slowing down of growth in recent year-in fact, the fitted line is almost straight. Out-of-sample performance was almost identical to in-sample performance. Figure 12-3 shows portfolio equity growth for the best evolved short-enttyat-open model, evaluated with entry actually at the open. Again, the stair-like appearance is present. However, except for a strong spurt of growth between August 1989 and June 1993, the curve is essentially flat. Overall, the equity was seen rising, except for the flat regions.